I know I can't see essays & recs and so it's hard for me to compare the strengths of two applicants together. But based on reading what can be gleaned from a chance thread, I've found that Almost Everyone who doesn't meet institutional priorities is deferred. Deferred people rarely get in RD. I see a lot of people accepted in RD who appeared to have been the "type" of people who were deferred in the ED round. I think Brown just wants to not admit anyone prematurely because there could always be someone better in RD. They don't seem to care very much about their yield. And when it comes to RD, the deferred students while they may get another look have already been passed over. So to quote @fireandrain , the "kids with great SATS who are valedictorian of their class and editor of the school paper and captain of the soccer team" have absolutely nothing to gain from ED, and it might even hurt a little.
This is just a theory. Any thoughts.
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